Bitcoin (BTC) continues to wrestle with key resistance near $95,000, while altcoins are flashing bullish momentum across the board—raising the question: is BTC due for a pullback, or is the broader crypto market preparing for its next leg up?
⚠️ Bitcoin Stalls as Bearish Signals Resurface
BTC closed higher yesterday but failed to break above the psychological $95K mark. Price action showed a lower low beneath $92K despite a green daily close—suggesting weakness. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) remains overbought above 70 but is now sloping downward with lower highs, reflecting waning momentum.
Adding to the caution, volume has consistently failed to surpass its 30-day moving average since April 25, and the 4-hour chart has flashed a new TBT Bearish Divergence Cluster, the first since Bitcoin’s $109K peak in January.
While BTC still holds above the daily TBO Cloud—maintaining bullish structure—the inability to clear $95K raises the likelihood of a retracement toward the $82,000 support zone unless bulls step in with a decisive breakout.
🚀 Altcoins Gain Momentum: Early Signals of a Breakout?
While Bitcoin hesitates, altcoins are showing life. TOTAL3, the index tracking total crypto market cap excluding BTC and ETH, just printed a TBO Open Long—its first since September 2024—marking a potential trend reversal.
OTHERS.D, which represents altcoin market dominance, is also attempting to print a TBO Open Long, suggesting early signs of a broader altcoin recovery. However, RSI on OTHERS.D is approaching ascending support and needs to hold for the bullish case to remain valid.
Historical patterns from late 2024 suggest that short-term chop may precede a major move higher.
🕵️♂️ Market Structure Mirrors Pre-November 2024 Rally
Volatility tracker BVOL7D is drifting back into its historical “Bounce Zone”—a key setup seen just before Bitcoin’s explosive rally in Q4 2024. Combined with the alignment of other key indicators, the market is beginning to resemble its pre-breakout phase from last November.
🔍 Altcoins to Watch: TBO Signals Turn Bullish
- Ethereum (ETH) has paused after a TBO Close Short but holds firm within the TBO Cloud.
- XRP and SOL are flashing 4H TBO Close Longs, signaling potential near-term upswings.
- Daily Open Longs have appeared on VET, POL, TIA, and MNT, while KCS and BERA show early breakout clusters.
- Notably, the TBT Forecaster flipped to bullish for altcoins five days ago—its first such shift since January—reinforcing the growing altcoin strength.
✅ Conclusion: BTC Decision Imminent, ALTs Leading the Way
Bitcoin stands at a make-or-break moment. Without a close above $95,000, a correction to $82K is highly probable. However, altcoins are showing increasing strength, with technical breakouts and bullish signals across multiple indicators.
Traders on www.DailyForex.pk should remain agile—secure profits but watch for confirmation of a broader altcoin breakout.
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