May 29, 2025 — Crypto Market Update
As legal uncertainty looms large, XRP slipped below $2.28, while Bitcoin (BTC) hovered around $107,800 despite broader profit-taking and volatile ETF flows. All eyes are on the U.S. SEC’s closed meeting scheduled for today, which could deliver critical clarity in the ongoing Ripple vs. SEC legal battle.
⚖️ Ripple vs. SEC: Will Legal Clarity Finally Arrive?
The SEC’s May 29 closed-door meeting could determine whether XRP’s institutional sales violated U.S. securities laws. This follows Judge Torres’ recent rejection of the SEC’s request to ease restrictions on XRP sales and reduce Ripple’s $125 million penalty — a decision that sent XRP tumbling from $2.57 to $2.22.
Legal experts believe this meeting may prompt the SEC to formally acknowledge that XRP is not a security in institutional or programmatic sales, potentially ending both appeals. A favorable outcome could push XRP toward $2.65–$3.00, while silence from the SEC may dampen investor confidence.
📉 XRP Price Outlook: Cautious Sentiment Prevails
- XRP fell 1.85% on May 28, closing at $2.2746
- Daily chart signals bearish pressure in the short term
- Over 98.3% of XRP wallets are in profit, raising the risk of short-term pullbacks
Key level to watch:
- Above $2.50 could open the door to $2.6553
- Sustained rally above $3.00 may aim for the 2018 high of $3.55
🟡 Bitcoin Holds Steady Amid ETF Flow Swings
Bitcoin dipped 1.03%, closing at $107,835, as ETF inflows softened after a strong 9-day streak. While Tuesday’s net inflow reached $385.4 million, Wednesday saw $48.3 million in net outflows, led by:
- ARKB: –$34.3 million
- FBTC: –$14 million
- Excludes pending data from BlackRock’s IBIT
Despite the pause, BTC is still riding high after hitting a record $111,917, fueled by strong ETF momentum and investor optimism.
🧠 BTC Forecast: Fed, Legislation & Tariff Watch
Near-term BTC movement will be shaped by:
- U.S. economic data & Fed policy signals
- Crypto legislation progress in Congress
- ETF inflow/outflow trends
- Geopolitical risks like tariffs or recession fears
Bullish Scenario:
- Positive crypto bills, dovish Fed tone, easing trade tensions
- BTC could break $111,917 and target $115,000
Bearish Scenario:
- Trade war fears, hawkish Fed tone, legislative delays
- BTC risks dipping back below $100,000
🔍 Key Events to Watch
- SEC decision on XRP classification
- Introduction of amended Market Structure Bill
- Progress on the Bitcoin Act (calls for U.S. to acquire 1M BTC)
- Upcoming U.S. inflation and labor market data
📌 Final Take
While XRP faces legal uncertainty, a positive ruling could spark a bullish breakout. Meanwhile, Bitcoin remains resilient, navigating ETF volatility and macro headwinds. Traders should stay alert as legal and political developments in the U.S. may heavily influence the next major market move.
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