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WTI Crude Oil (USOIL) Testing Key Support: Is a Reversal on the Horizon?

WTI Crude Oil (USOIL) is currently hovering around a major support zone, raising questions about whether the commodity will stage a recovery or continue its downward trajectory. Let’s break down the technical setup and key levels to watch.

WTI Crude Oil (USOIL) – Daily Chart Analysis

U.S. crude oil has had a rough start to 2025, sliding from highs of around $80.50 in early January to hitting lows near $65.45 in March. Several factors have contributed to this decline, including:

✅ Escalating tariff tensions disrupting global trade flows.
✅ Slowing global economic growth dampening demand expectations.
✅ OPEC’s planned production increase set for April, raising concerns about oversupply.

Despite the Federal Reserve’s growing inclination toward interest rate cuts, the U.S. dollar remains resilient, attracting safe-haven flows that further pressure oil prices.

Key Support and Resistance Levels to Watch

🔹 Support Zone ($66.00 – $67.00):

This area has been a significant price pivot since April 2019.
Current price action is testing the S1 Pivot Point ($67.16) on the daily chart.
If buyers defend this zone, a reversal could be in play.

🔹 Upside Potential:

A bullish breakout above $68.00 could encourage buyers to push prices toward $70.00 (a key psychological level).
Further momentum could extend gains to $72.80, the recent swing high.

🔹 Downside Risk:

A break below $65.00 would invalidate the support zone, exposing crude oil to further losses.
Key support levels below include $63.00 and $62.50, aligning with previous lows from 2023 and 2021.

Market Sentiment & Fundamental Outlook

Directional bias in crude oil is being dictated by fundamentals—tariffs, supply-demand shifts, and macroeconomic developments. Traders should closely monitor:

📅 Upcoming economic data releases that impact oil demand forecasts.
📢 OPEC+ statements regarding production adjustments.
💰 U.S. dollar strength or weakness, as it directly influences oil prices.

Bottom Line

WTI crude oil is currently at a crossroads. The $66-$67 zone could serve as a springboard for recovery, but failure to hold above this area may lead to deeper declines. If bullish momentum builds above $68.00, expect a push toward $70 or higher. However, a drop below $65.00 would indicate continued weakness, potentially targeting $63.00 or lower.

Stay tuned for further market updates and keep an eye on daily fundamentals to confirm price direction with Daily Forex Pakistan 🚀📉

Hamza Shah

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