Safe-Haven Assets Tumble as Israel-Iran Ceasefire Sparks Risk-On Rally

The global markets witnessed a dramatic shift on Tuesday as the fragile ceasefire between Israel and Iran took hold, triggering a widespread move out of safe-haven assets and into riskier investments. Although early uncertainty loomed with both sides accusing each other of violating the truce, tensions eased after leaders from both nations confirmed their commitment—provided reciprocal adherence continued.

Speaking from a NATO summit in the Netherlands, U.S. President Donald Trump took credit for brokering the peace, stating on Truth Social, “It was my great honor to destroy all nuclear facilities & capability, and then, STOP THE WAR!” His remarks followed coordinated strikes that had reportedly crippled Iran’s nuclear infrastructure earlier in the month.

Gold Retreats Sharply, Erasing Conflict Premium

Gold prices led the retreat among safe-haven assets. After peaking on conflict-driven fears, gold futures plunged $57.70 (−1.70%) to $3,336.50 by 3:47 PM ET, completely wiping out the geopolitical risk premium that had driven prices higher since Israel’s initial strikes on June 13.

Silver prices followed suit, slipping $0.33 (−0.92%) to $35.85—dropping below the key psychological threshold of $36 for the first time since June 6.

US Dollar Weakens as Risk Appetite Rises

The US Dollar, another typical safe-haven, also came under pressure. The ICE US Dollar Index (DXY) dropped 0.90% to 97.88, nearing its lowest level in over two years as investor appetite shifted toward equities and other risk-on assets.

Equities Surge as Traders Embrace Risk

Equity markets soared in response to the easing geopolitical risk. Major indices recorded strong gains:

• Nasdaq Composite jumped 1.58% to 22,225, nearing record highs.
• S&P 500 climbed 1.19%.
• Dow Jones Industrial Average advanced 1.25%.

The surge reflects growing confidence that the ceasefire will hold and that global tensions may cool in the coming weeks.

Outlook: Precious Metals Under Pressure

The coordinated exit from gold, silver, and the US Dollar suggests more than a temporary relief rally. The broad rally across equities and the synchronized unwinding of defensive positions indicate a deeper, structural risk-on rotation. As capital flows redirect toward growth-focused assets, safe-haven commodities like gold may remain under pressure in the short term—especially if geopolitical developments remain stable.

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