Gold and silver prices surged sharply as global markets responded to heightened uncertainty surrounding U.S. trade policy under President Trump. With investors increasingly anxious over aggressive tariff announcements and geopolitical tensions, demand for safe-haven assets like precious metals has intensified—despite traditionally bearish macroeconomic indicators.
Gold Reclaims Ground Amid Risk-Off Sentiment
Gold futures rebounded for a second straight session, snapping a recent five-day losing streak. The August 2025 contract climbed $10.50, or 0.32%, to settle at $3,333 before edging higher to $3,335.20 in after-hours trading. The rally occurred even as the U.S. dollar remained firm—an unusual dynamic given the inverse relationship typically seen between the dollar and gold.
This deviation from historical trends signals that gold’s current strength is driven less by currency factors and more by growing investor concern over economic and policy uncertainty.
Silver Outshines Gold with 12-Year High in Sight
Silver outpaced gold with an explosive rally, surging $1.02 or 2.79% to close at $37.625. The momentum carried into extended hours, with prices touching $37.79. This marks silver’s strongest performance in years, placing it within reach of the key psychological level of $40—now seen by many analysts as a base rather than a ceiling for the rest of 2025.
Unlike gold, silver’s rally also reflects strong industrial demand, which has remained resilient despite economic headwinds.
Trade Policy Uncertainty Ignites Safe-Haven Demand
The primary catalyst behind the metals rally was renewed concern over U.S. trade policy. On Wednesday, President Trump announced a 50% tariff on imported copper, effective August 1, along with new duties on goods from Brazil and several other countries.
These abrupt policy moves have intensified investor anxiety, driving demand for safe-haven assets even in the face of stronger-than-expected U.S. economic data.
Job Market Data Takes a Backseat to Policy Risks
Labor market figures released this week showed initial jobless claims at 227,000—below market expectations of 235,000. Normally, such data would suggest reduced pressure on the Federal Reserve to cut interest rates, creating a bearish backdrop for precious metals.
However, the metals market defied this logic, with gold and silver continuing to rise. This shift indicates that geopolitical risks and trade-related uncertainty are currently overshadowing traditional monetary policy considerations in the minds of investors.
Outlook: Metals Set for Further Gains as Volatility Persists
The strong performance of gold and silver underscores a broader market trend: growing skepticism over the stability of U.S. fiscal and trade policy. As fears of escalating tariffs ripple through financial markets, safe-haven flows are likely to remain elevated.
Unless there is a significant reversal in U.S. trade rhetoric or a shift in investor sentiment, precious metals could see continued upside in the coming weeks—particularly if the dollar weakens or global equity markets experience further volatility.
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