Market Updates

Gold and Silver Price Forecast: Bullish Trends Persist Despite Strong US Jobs Data and Rising Yields

Gold (XAU/USD) pulled back sharply from $3,392 to $3,333 on Tuesday as upbeat US labor market data and rising bond yields lifted the US Dollar. Meanwhile, Silver (XAG/USD) surged past key resistance at $33.60, setting its sights on the $35 level, bolstered by inflationary pressures stemming from higher US metal tariffs.


Gold & Silver Market Snapshot

  • Gold (XAU/USD): Down 0.20%, now rebounding above $3,370
  • Silver (XAG/USD): Down 0.29%, holding above $33.60
  • Dollar Index (DXY): Recovered to 99.22
  • US 10-Year Treasury Yield: Rises to 4.462%
  • Real Yields: Climb to 2.132%

US Jobs Data Boosts USD, Pressures Gold

Tuesday’s JOLTS report revealed that US job openings soared to 7.39 million in April, surpassing expectations of 7.10 million. This labor market strength reignited demand for the US Dollar, causing gold to slide to $3,333 before recovering.

Rising bond yields further dampened gold’s near-term outlook, making non-yielding assets less attractive. However, ongoing US-China trade uncertainty and rumors of a Trump-Xi Jinping call helped gold rebound above $3,370, keeping the medium-term bullish narrative intact.


Silver Rallies on Inflation Risks and Metal Tariffs

Silver broke through the key $33.60 resistance and climbed toward the $35 level. Industrial metal tariffs – especially the doubling of steel and aluminum tariffs to 50% – stoked inflation concerns, supporting silver’s dual role as a precious and industrial metal.

Yet, silver’s upward potential may be capped in the short term due to dollar strength and yield pressure. Market attention now shifts to further US jobs data and Fed rate cut expectations, which are currently pricing in 48.5 basis points of easing by year-end.


Gold (XAU/USD) Technical Analysis

Daily Chart: Eyes on $3,500

Gold is trading inside an ascending broadening wedge, having broken out of a descending channel. This breakout opens the door toward $3,500, with the RSI rebounding from the mid-range — a bullish signal.

4-Hour Chart: Bullish Momentum Strengthens

Price action shows a breakout from a descending broadening wedge at $3,360, targeting the $3,400 resistance zone. The pattern also displays an inverted head-and-shoulders, supporting a bullish continuation. Key resistance lies at $3,400 and $3,500.


Silver (XAG/USD) Technical Analysis

Daily Chart: Bullish Breakout Above $33.60

Silver broke past its tight consolidation range above the 50-day and 200-day SMAs, confirming bullish strength. With RSI below 70, room for a move above $35 remains likely.

4-Hour Chart: Strong Price Action

Bullish momentum intensified from support at $31.80, and the breakout above $33.60 suggests a run toward $35, which could trigger a larger rally.


US Dollar (DXY) Outlook: More Weakness Ahead?

Daily Chart: Struggling Below 50-Day SMA

The DXY remains under bearish pressure, failing to close above the 50-day SMA and repeatedly rejecting 100.65. A break below 98.00 could trigger a slide toward the 90.00 area.

4-Hour Chart: Bearish Channel Holds

The index is moving inside a descending channel, with 101.60 acting as strong resistance. Support rests near the 96.00 zone, the channel’s lower bound.


Conclusion: Gold and Silver Remain in Focus

Despite temporary pullbacks due to strong US jobs data and rising yields, both Gold and Silver maintain a bullish technical setup. Tariff-driven inflation concerns and rate cut expectations could provide additional tailwinds in the coming weeks.

Stay Updated With Dailyforex.pk

saad

Recent Posts

GBP/USD Outlook: Pound Strengthens Near 1.3450 Amid Dovish Fed Remarks and Mixed UK Jobs Data

GBP/USD edges higher toward 1.3450 as dovish Fed comments support the Pound, despite mixed UK…

2 days ago

Crypto Price Forecast: Bitcoin Eyes Record High, Ethereum Targets $4K, Ripple Soars to New Peak

Bitcoin approaches record highs, Ethereum targets the $4,000 mark, and Ripple (XRP) hits a new…

2 days ago

EUR/USD Rises Above 1.1600 as Fed Dovish Tone Eases Market Jitters

EUR/USD climbs past 1.1600 as the Fed’s dovish stance calms market nerves, boosting demand for…

2 days ago

EUR/JPY Forecast: Bullish Momentum Holds Above 100-Day EMA, But Overbought RSI Signals Caution

EUR/JPY holds above the 100-day EMA, maintaining bullish momentum, though overbought RSI levels suggest a…

2 days ago

Gold Price Forecast: Bullish Momentum Builds as XAU/USD Bounces Off Key Support

Gold (XAU/USD) rebounds off key support, with bullish momentum building as traders watch for further…

2 days ago

USD/JPY and AUD/USD Forecast: Central Bank Policies and US Sentiment in Focus

USD/JPY and AUD/USD remain sensitive to Fed and BoJ policy signals, while US market sentiment…

2 days ago